While taking control of the U.S. Senate seemed out of reach for Democrats at the beginning of the year, probabilistic election forecasters now put the chances of a Democratic Senate majority at 58 percent to 75 percent. That should not be attributed prima... See more
Both parties know that Democrats are heading into the final weeks of the midterm election campaign with momentum, as Republican political action committees have all but given up defending their Senate seat in North Carolina, and their House seats in Iowa'... See more
'If you're explaining, you're losing' is an old political adage sometimes attributed to Ronald Reagan, but it probably predates him. The axiom justifies campaign operatives launching harsh attacks on opponents, regardless of veracity, because it forces th... See more
'If you have approved of my leadership and wish me to continue to be your unembarrassed spokesman in affairs at home and abroad, I earnestly beg that you will express yourself unmistakably to that effect by returning a Democratic majority to both the Sena... See more
This summer, I was a poll skeptic. Internal polling published by campaigns and allied political action committees shaped public perceptions, affected fundraising, forced primary candidates in Michigan and Maine to quit, and perhaps even influenced the dat... See more